Tuesday, November 6, 2012

My thoughts on the election

The election had a surprising outcome.  Jared won the popular vote, while Gloria won both the pair-wise elimination vote and the vote for which we ranked the three candidates.  I think Gloria received more points than Jared and Nate in the two votes she won because she didn't set herself in opposition to either of them.  So, when it came to ranking candidates, supporters of Nate likely assigned Jared a value of 1, and supporters of Jared, likely assigned Nate a value of 1, but both supporters of Nate and supporters of Jared likely assigned Gloria a value of 2.  So Gloria, in effect, received some support from both supporters of Nate and supporters of Jared, and also complete support from supporters of her campaign.
In the pairwise elimination, supporters of Nate likely selected Gloria when choosing between Jared and Gloria, and supporters of Jared likely selected Gloria when choosing between Nate and Gloria.  The opposition set between Nate and Jared allowed for opponents of either campaign to, in effect, vote against their candidates opponent.

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